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Path: ...!weretis.net!feeder9.news.weretis.net!i2pn.org!i2pn2.org!.POSTED!not-for-mail From: ltlee1@hotmail.com (ltlee1) Newsgroups: soc.culture.china Subject: Reagan =?UTF-8?B?RGlkbuKAmXQgV2luIHRoZSBDb2xkIFdhciAtLS0gUFJFU1NVUkUgRE9F?= =?UTF-8?B?U07igJlUIE1BS0UgUEVBQ0U=?= Date: Sun, 8 Sep 2024 14:51:39 +0000 Organization: novaBBS Message-ID: <00dfc626704683c705371156494af285@www.novabbs.com> MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=utf-8; format=flowed Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit Injection-Info: i2pn2.org; logging-data="1308139"; mail-complaints-to="usenet@i2pn2.org"; posting-account="mNwqq9k4PbjwCNcW/6mPKUh0i9J+bz8EaUjCd0X/OGk"; User-Agent: Rocksolid Light X-Rslight-Posting-User: 2fefc04777943c472de9022864bceed983aeb27a X-Rslight-Site: $2y$10$pxT56OMnIDjhubn5NNKlc.64Q98fbx7IzUXH8qaeQmPyylY7QxJkS X-Spam-Checker-Version: SpamAssassin 4.0.0 Bytes: 3830 Lines: 47 https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/reagan-didnt-win-cold-war "When Republicans strategize about how to deal with China today, many of them point to President Ronald Reagan’s confrontational approach toward the Soviet Union as a model to emulate. H. R. McMaster, who served as national security adviser under President Donald Trump, argued: “Reagan had a clear strategy for victory in the global contest with the Soviet Union. Reagan’s approach—applying intensive economic and military pressure to a superpower adversary—became foundational to American strategic thinking. It hastened the end of Soviet power and promoted a peaceful conclusion to the multi-decade Cold War.” A trio of conservative foreign policy experts—Randy Schriver, Dan Blumenthal, and Josh Young—made the case that the next president “should draw upon the example of former President Ronald Reagan in taking hold of China policy,” citing “the intent to win the Cold War against the Soviet Union” that “permeated” Reagan-era national security documents. ... To be sure, there is a superficial allure to the thesis that Reagan brought down the Soviet Union and won the Cold War, because Reagan sometimes spoke of doing just that. ... Reality, however, is a lot messier than this simplistic story line. ... PRESSURE DOESN’T MAKE PEACE There is little evidence that pressure on the Soviet Union in Reagan’s first term made the Soviets more willing to negotiate, but there is a good deal of evidence that his pivot toward cooperation with Gorbachev in his second term allowed the new Soviet leader to transform his country and end the Cold War. Yet many conservatives conflate Reagan’s second-term success with his first-term failures, applying the wrong policy lessons to relations with communist China today. Ramping up confrontation with Beijing regardless of the consequences risks a repeat of the war scares that brought the world to the brink of catastrophe in 1983, and such a strategy has even less of a chance of success today. Even if it was not on the verge of bankruptcy, the Soviet Union’s economy was weak in the 1980s, thanks to communist central planning and a fall in world oil prices. China, on the other hand, has successfully combined free-market economics and political repression to become the world’s second largest economy. As the journalist Fareed Zakaria has noted, the Soviet economy accounted for roughly 7.5 percent of global GDP at its peak; China today makes up about 20 percent of global GDP. There are no policies that the United States can plausibly implement that will “defeat” China—it is hard to know what “defeating China” even means. It is easy, however, to imagine that unrelentingly hard-line policies from both the United States and China could raise the risk of a nuclear war."