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From: Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com>
Newsgroups: alt.folklore.computers,comp.os.linux.misc
Subject: Re: The joy of Democracy
Date: Wed, 6 Nov 2024 18:31:16 -0700
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The Natural Philosopher <tnp@invalid.invalid> wrote:
> On 04/11/2024 01:03, 186282@ud0s4.net wrote:
>> On 11/3/24 7:11 PM, rbowman wrote:
>>> On Sun, 3 Nov 2024 21:45:32 +0100, D wrote:
>>> 
>>>> True. Let's hope Putin will make a hueg error of judgment soon, or that
>>>> the court will tire of him. Would not be surprised if it happens within
>>>> 3-5 years.
>>> 
>>> Let me wipe the dust off my crystal ball. Ah, I see it now. In 3-5 years
>>> Zelensky will be a footnote in history. It's a bit cloudy whether or not
>>> he will be Diemed.
>> 
>>   An evil crystal for sure !
>> 
>>   However, it MAY be correct. Russia has HUGE
>>   resources while Ukraine, even in good circumstances,
>>   is far behind the curve. I don't think Ukraine can
>>   "win" in the conventional sense - it will take
>>   something more "political".
>> 
> No. Russia does not have HUGE resources.
> Its economy is about the size of Italy's.
> It is already in total stagflation, with interest rates over 20%.
> 20% of GDP is going on a war which it isn't winning.
> Even Russian economist are warning that total economic collapse is 
> threatening.
> Putin is going all-in to convince the West that 'Russia cant lose' At a 
> cost of 1500 casualties a day.

Just read an interesting article today. Apparently Ukranian drones have
destroyed such huge numbers of z Russian self-propelled howitzers that the
Russians are mostly back to towed artillery. ( self-propelled guns tote
around a lot of fuel and ammunition, that makes a real nice bavovna when
hit). Now Ukranian drone operators have developed a technique for blowing
holes in gun barrels, making them useless) I think they’re getting as many
as 50 per day. Russians can’t produce that many replacement barrels because
their industrial base sucks.

> 
>>   With NK troops
> 
> Who are allegeldly shooting at Russians because they look and sound 
> pretty much like Ukrainains. Or desrting in droves.,
> 
> 
> and more and more Chinese supplies
>>   Russia can keep at this for a long time, even expand
>>   threats/influence to eastern Europe. 
> 
> No, he can't. That's his bullshit. He is teetering on the edge.
> 
> 
>> Putin will have
>>   to drop dead - and NO assurances his replacement will
>>   be ANY better, maybe worse.
>> 
> Wrong assumptions, wrong conclusions.
> 
>>   Zel ... SOMEDAY he will get his big statue. Won't
>>   be anytime soon though.
> 
> He's a little guy. It will be a little statue.
> 
> 



-- 
Pete