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Path: ...!npeer.as286.net!npeer-ng0.as286.net!peer02.ams1!peer.ams1.xlned.com!news.xlned.com!peer03.ams4!peer.am4.highwinds-media.com!news.highwinds-media.com!fx14.ams4.POSTED!not-for-mail MIME-Version: 1.0 User-Agent: Mozilla Thunderbird Subject: =?UTF-8?Q?Re=3A_=5Bs=C3=A9cheresse=5D_Que_dit_le_rapport_du_GIEC?= Newsgroups: fr.soc.environnement References: <fSb7O.65825$c2Ba.31868@fx02.ams4> <lc529iFkhdvU1@mid.individual.net> <z2YsljIyXlB3S4CxOqtx9V_fZUg@jntp> <fhj7O.182417$gxa1.79071@fx15.ams4> <v3l1qq$k1n$1@dont-email.me> <0gG7O.281439$dSjd.131607@fx16.ams4> <v3nd8b$g3m4$1@dont-email.me> <SUI7O.129060$C1m8.26299@fx05.ams4> <sQhk1hnA12mKGThGJaP7RKRMrxA@jntp> <MxB8O.255001$gxa1.180785@fx15.ams4> <v3up8o$21sg5$1@dont-email.me> <ejC8O.2$Ccd7.0@fx16.ams4> <v3vg77$25k1p$1@dont-email.me> <cnI8O.658$2di4.313@fx09.ams4> <v3vkk4$26a5a$1@dont-email.me> <RcJ8O.6284$kf_2.5323@fx03.ams4> <v3vrv5$27t7v$1@dont-email.me> Content-Language: fr From: Paul Aubrin <paul.aubrin@invalid.org> In-Reply-To: <v3vrv5$27t7v$1@dont-email.me> Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8; format=flowed Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit Lines: 12 Message-ID: <EnS8O.6934$j%v2.2928@fx14.ams4> X-Complaints-To: abuse@eweka.nl NNTP-Posting-Date: Sat, 08 Jun 2024 05:55:48 UTC Organization: Eweka Internet Services Bytes: 2067 Date: Sat, 8 Jun 2024 07:55:48 +0200 X-Received-Bytes: 1940 X-Original-Bytes: 1798 Le 07/06/2024 à 22:52, Olivier@ a écrit : > Chapitre 12 : > In summary, there is high confidence that river floods will increase in > central and Western Europe and medium confidence that they will decrease > in Northern, Eastern and southern Europe, for mid- and end of century > under RCP8.5 and with low confidence under RCP2.6. Le scénario RCP8.5 n'est pas celui que suit la vraie réalité, et vu comme ont été construits ces scénarios, elle ne la suivra jamais (mais comprendre les scénarios en question demande un travail d'approfondissement dont je suspecte que vous n'êtes pas capable).