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From: mitchalsup@aol.com (MitchAlsup1)
Newsgroups: comp.arch
Subject: Re: Is Intel exceptionally unsuccessful as an architecture
 =?UTF-8?B?ZGVzaWduZXI/?=
Date: Tue, 1 Oct 2024 21:11:12 +0000
Organization: Rocksolid Light
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On Tue, 1 Oct 2024 18:56:46 +0000, David Brown wrote:

> On 01/10/2024 20:20, MitchAlsup1 wrote:
>> On Tue, 1 Oct 2024 15:51:36 +0000, Thomas Koenig wrote:
>>
>>> David Brown <david.brown@hesbynett.no> schrieb:
>>>
>>>> Science is not a religion.
>>>>
>>>> And as someone (whose name I have forgotten) once said, "Science is
>>>> about unanswered questions.  Religion is about unquestioned answers."
>>>
>>> That is the ideal of science - scientific hypotheses are proposed.
>>> They have to be falsifiable (i.e. you have to be able to do experiments
>>> which could, in theory, prove the hypothesis wrong).  You can never
>>> _prove_ a hypothesis, you can only fail to disprove it, and then it
>>> will gradually tend to become accepted.  In other words, you try
>>> to make predictions, and if those predictions fail, then the theory
>>> is in trouble.
>>>
>>> For example, Einstein's General Theory of Relativity was never
>>> proven, it was found by a very large number of experiments by a
>>> very large number of people that it could not be disproven, so
>>> people generally accept it.  But people still try to think of
>>> experiments which might show a deviation, and keep trying  for it.
>>>
>>> Same for quantum mechanics.  Whatever you think of it
>>> philosophically, it has been shown to be remarkably accurate
>>> at predicting actual behavior.
>>>
>>> Mathematics is not a sciene under this definition, by the way.
>>
>> Indeed, Units of forward progress in Math are done with formal
>> proofs.
>
> It's worth remembering that mathematical proofs always start at a base -
> a set of axioms.  And these axioms are assumed, not proven.
>
>>>
>>> The main problem is with people who try to sell something as
>>> science which isn't, of which there are also many examples.
>>
>> The colloquial person thinks theory and conjecture are
>> essentially equal. As in: "I just invented this theory".
>> No, you just: "Invented a conjecture." you have to have
>> substantial evidence to go from conjecture to theory.
>>
>
> I think you need evidence, justification, and a good basis for proposing
> something before it can even be called a "conjecture" in science.  You
> don't start off with a conjecture - you start with an idea, and have a
> long way to go to reach a "scientific theory", passing through
> "conjecture" and "hypothesis" on the way.

I do not disagree with that. Sorry if I implied anything else.

>>> "Scientific Marxism" is one such example.  It is sometimes hard
>>> for an outsider to differentiate between actual scientific theories
>>> which have been tested, and people just claiming that "the science
>>> says so" when they have not been applying the scientific method
>>> faithfully, either through ignorance or through bad intent.
>>>
>>> There is also the problem of many people not knowing statistics well
>>> enough and misapplying it, for example in social or medical science.
>>
>> Or politics....
>
> Or even in hard sciences - scientists are humans too, and some of them
> get their statistics wildly wrong.