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Subject: Re: Joe Biden Now Leads Donald Trump in Ten Polls
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 > Jim Dietrich wrote:
 > (wait until Trump's in a prison jumpsuit!)
 > 
 > 
 > Joe Biden Now Leads Donald Trump in Ten Polls
 > 
 > 
 > Published Apr 15, 2024  
 >  
 > 
 > With seven months to go until the presidential election, incumbent

 > President Joe Biden is beating his Republican challenger Donald
Trump in a 
 > series of recent polls.
 > 
 > The Democrat is leading Trump in ten separate polls conducted in
the last 
 > month, although experts have cautioned that it is still too early
to call 
 > the election and Trump is polling higher than Biden in other polls
too.
 > 
 > Below, Newsweek has listed the polls in which Biden is leading
Trump.
 > 
 > Newsweek contacted representatives for Trump and Biden by email to
comment 
 > on this story.
 > Joe Biden
 > Joe Biden at a meeting with Japan's Prime Minister, Fumio Kishida,
and 
 > President of the Philippines, Ferdinand Marcos Jr. The president is

 > enjoying success in several polls ahead of the presidential
election. Photo 
 > by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
 > 
 > 1. Florida Atlantic University and Mainstreet
 > Sign up for Newsletter Newsletter
 > The Bulletin
 > Your Morning Starts Here
 > Begin your day with a curated outlook of top news around the world
and why 
 > it matters.
 > 
 > 
 > I want to receive special offers  and promotions from Newsweek
 > By clicking on SIGN ME UP, you agree to Newsweek's Terms of Use
& Privacy 
 > Policy. You may unsubscribe at any time.
 > 
 > This poll found that 47 percent will vote for Biden come polling
day while 
 > 45 percent expressed support for Trump. However, when all voters
were 
 > included the two drew, both receiving 44 percent of the vote.
 > 
 > This poll was conducted between March 15 to March 17 with a sample
of 1,053 
 > adults. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percent.
 > 
 > 2. RMG Research
 > 
 > In a poll of 1679 voters conducted between April 1 and April 4, 44
percent 
 > of high propensity voters said they would vote for Biden if an
election 
 > were held today, while 43 percent said they would vote for Trump.
 > 
 > The margin of error for the poll is 2.4 percent.
 > Read more
 > 
 >     Republicans get warning sign in state Trump won
 >     Joe Biden gets poll boost in key swing state
 >     Is Joe Biden the favorite now?
 > 
 > 3. Data for Progress
 > 
 > A survey of 1,200 likely voters conducted between March 27 and
March 29 
 > found that 47 percent would vote for Biden while 46 percent would
vote for 
 > Trump.
 > 
 > The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.
 > 
 > 4. Ipsos
 > 
 > An April Ipsos poll for Reuters found that 41 percent of registered
voters 
 > would vote for Biden compared to 37 percent who would vote for
Trump. The 
 > survey has a 4 percentage point margin of error and e. Ipsos polled
833 
 > registered voters between April 5 and 9 in this survey.
 > 
 > 5. Quinnipiac University
 > 
 > A March 27 poll of 1,407 registered voters found that 48 percent of
voters 
 > support Biden and 45 percent support Trump. The margin of error is
+/- 2.6 
 > percentage points.
 > 
 > 6. Marquette Law School
 > 
 > Conducted between March 18 and March 2028, this poll of likely
voters found 
 > that 45 percent would vote for Biden and 44 percent would vote for
Trump. 
 > However, the poll of registered voters found that 44 percent would
vote for 
 > Trump and 42 percent for Biden.
 > 
 > 7. Marist College
 > 
 > A Marist College poll of 1,305 people for NPR found that Biden has
the 
 > support of 50 percent of registered voters and Trump has the
support of 48 
 > percent. The poll was conducted between March 25 and March 28 and
involved 
 > 1,199 people.
 > 
 > There was a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points.
 > 
 > 8. I&I/TIPP
 > 
 > A poll of 1,265 registered voters revealed that 43 percent support
Biden 
 > and 40 percent support Trump. The April 3 to April 5 poll has a
margin of 
 > error of +/- 2.8 percentage points.
 > 
 > 9. Noble Predictive
 > 
 > According to a poll of 2510 registered voters, 44 percent would
vote for 
 > Biden while 43 percent would vote for Trump.
 > 
 > The poll was conducted from March 11 to March 15 and the margin of
error is 
 > +/- 2 percent.
 > 
 > 10. Progress Action Fund
 > 
 > A poll released by the Democratic super PAC Progress Action Fund
and 
 > conducted by Public Policy Polling showed Biden leading Trump 46
percent to 
 > 45 percent. The poll, which was first shared with the Hill, has a
margin of 
 > error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. It was conducted between March
12 and 
 > March 13 and surveyed 837 registered voters.
 > 
 > Heath Brown, an associate professor of public policy at City
University of 
 > New York, told Newsweek on Thursday that the race was "very
close."
 > 
 > "The polling over the last several months indicate this is a
very close 
 > race. I wouldn't read too much into any one or two polls at this
point. The 
 > trend seems to be that the campaign will be a very tight one and I
suspect 
 > the polls will reflect that until November."
 > 
 > The election will take place on 5 November. Until then, polls and 
 > commentary will continue to drive speculation about the result of
the 
 > election.


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