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From: Ubiquitous <weberm@polaris.net>
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Subject: CNN: Most Voters Say "No Chance" They'll Support Biden - Is this the most underreported story in politics?
Date: Thu, 30 May 2024 10:26:48 -0400
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Summary: https://www.wsj.com/articles/cnn-most-voters-say-no-chance-theyll-support-biden-21b8a3a9?mod=djemBestOfTheWeb
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Large media organizations have been telling Americans for nearly a decade 
about "Never Trump" voters, and surely there are a lot of them. But perhaps 
such voters are not quite as numerous as the "Never Biden" folks, who have 
received comparatively little attention.

Perhaps this is starting to change. "Among all voters, Biden remains at a bit 
of a disadvantage relative to Trump in terms of the share of voters who have 
ruled out voting for him: 52% say there's no chance they would support him, 
while 47% say there's no chance they would back Trump," Jennifer Agiesta 
reports for CNN.

To this point, standard courtesy among establishment media is to acknowledge 
Mr. Biden's unacceptability to a broad swath of voters only in the context of 
a story that also notes Mr. Trump's unpopularity and concludes that voters 
are just unhappy with their options. And certainly they are. But Mr. Trump is 
frequently permitted to appear in stories entirely devoted to his 
shortcomings.

Regardless of the quality of coverage, it is the accuracy of polling that is 
probably top of mind at the White House. If the CNN results are accurate, how 
can Democrats craft a strategy for winning an election in which most voters 
have ruled out the idea of voting for Mr. Biden?

Ms. Agiesta has more on the network's latest opinion survey:

	Donald Trump continues to hold an advantage over President Joe Biden 
	as the campaign - and the former president's criminal trial - move 
	forward, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. And in the 
	coming rematch, opinions about the first term of each man vying for 
	a second four years in the White House now appear to work in Trump's 
	favor, with most Americans saying that, looking back, Trump's term as 
	president was a success, while a broad majority says Biden's has so 
	far been a failure.

	Trump's support in the poll among registered voters holds steady at 
	49% in a head-to-head matchup against Biden, the same as in CNN's 
	last national poll on the race in January, while Biden's stands at 
	43%, not significantly different from January's 45%.

	Looking back, 55% of all Americans now say they see Trump's 
	presidency as a success, while 44% see it as a failure. In a January 
	2021 poll taken just before Trump left office and days after the 
	January 6 attack on the US Capitol, 55% considered his time as 
	president a failure.

	Assessing Biden's time in office so far, 61% say his presidency thus 
	far has been a failure, while 39% say it's been a success.

Perhaps the political operatives in the crowd can opine on whether they would 
rather be in a campaign that inspires a slight majority of voters to say 
they'll never vote for the candidate or one in which a large majority regard 
him as a failure.

One option for the White House is to attempt a reputational beating of CNN's 
pollsters until morale improves among Democrats. After all, polling is an 
inexact science--if it's even a science--and Team Biden could attack the CNN 
survey as an "outlier" of questionable accuracy. The White House tried this 
approach with the Quinnipiac poll in 2022. Alternatively, the White House 
could hope that CNN staff will start publicly questioning their own results, 
as the Washington Post did last fall when its polling yielded more bad news 
for Team Biden.

Another option is to take the CNN results at face value and try to persuade 
Never-Biden voters to change their minds. But this would probably require Mr. 
Biden to make a public case for his candidacy, perhaps even subjecting 
himself to unscripted discussion of the issues of the day.

This would represent a significant change in administration policy. On 
Saturday at the White House Correspondents' Dinner Mr. Biden joked about his 
media unavailability. Here's the official transcript:

	Now, to all of my friends in the press -- and Fox News -- (laughter)
 	-- some of you complain that I don't take enough of your questions.  
	No comment.  (Laughter.)
 
	Of course, the New York Times issued a statement blasting me for, 
	quote, "actively and effectively avoiding independent journalists."
 
	Hey, if that's what it takes to get the New York Times to say I'm 
	active and effective, I'm for it.  (Laughter.)  It's okay.
 
	I have... higher standards.  I do interviews with strong independent 
	journalists who millions of people actually listen to, like Howard 
	Stern.  (Laughter.)

Two years ago, in hopes of avoiding international catastrophe, this column 
recommended that the president avoid public speaking--at least on important 
issues--and especially if the remarks are not prepared in advance.

The White House has largely adopted this policy, but this column's suggestion 
was only intended as a stopgap measure until a communicative and coherent 
president could take office. At the time it seemed fanciful that Mr. Biden 
would serve still another term.

If the CNN poll is accurate, most voters have already decided that he should 
not.

--
Let's go Brandon!