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From: moviePig <nobody@nowhere.com>
Newsgroups: rec.arts.tv
Subject: Re: Cuomo Recants on Ivermectin
Date: Mon, 3 Jun 2024 12:29:26 -0400
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On 6/3/2024 1:06 AM, The Horny Goat wrote:
> On Sat, 1 Jun 2024 12:02:22 -0400, moviePig <nobody@nowhere.com>
> wrote:
> 
>>> I dunno - George Wallace got full coverage when he ran in 1968 though
>>> everyone knew that even if he carried a few states in the DeepSouth
>>> he'd never carry America (though Newsweek magazine DID publish their
>>> Nixon, Humprey and Wallace covers they had made up in anticipation of
>>> the result (including a "Deadlock" cover and their cover for their
>>> International edition).
>>>
>>> I kept that issue for a lot of years but have probably ditched it by
>>> now...
>>
>> That example argues for a "blind" numerical threshold of support.
> 
> How so? I totally fail to see how taking 5 or 6 states all in the Deep
> South gives one a snowflake's chance in hell of getting 270 electoral
> votes (or whatever it is these days)
> 
> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1968_United_States_presidential_election
> 
> Just like I wonder why Nixon figured the Watergate break-in was a good
> thing given that he surely must have known he was heading for an epic
> win in 1972....(hint: he got them all except Mass.) and it is simply
> not credible that a break-in would influence more than 3 or 4 states
> at most.

There's no objective threshold for either inclusion or exclusion, so an 
arbitrary pre-established compromise may be the best that can be done.