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Path: ...!eternal-september.org!feeder3.eternal-september.org!news.eternal-september.org!.POSTED!not-for-mail From: Dimensional Traveler <dtravel@sonic.net> Newsgroups: rec.arts.sf.written Subject: Re: Whoops! The Atlantic Makes Trump Look EPIC In Cover Intended as a Smear Date: Thu, 19 Sep 2024 07:55:18 -0700 Organization: A noiseless patient Spider Lines: 101 Message-ID: <vche0l$juhv$1@dont-email.me> References: <20240913a@crcomp.net> <cicbejl8f1hppk447ao6jq1n295sj386f1@4ax.com> <pcgeejhh5j013bn1iqo15i5cod7267j15j@4ax.com> <20240915a@crcomp.net> <vc8hcj$2m25s$1@dont-email.me> <20240916a@crcomp.net> <92767bb42bc741f813f2a5a131e0ce5e@www.novabbs.com> <vcd5e0$3ognu$3@dont-email.me> <7mCGO.45460$xO0f.10030@fx48.iad> <ceff4cd0-7f16-0f42-588b-374e89acf00c@example.net> <vcfq1i$8o8k$2@dont-email.me> <eef9e921-3ea3-76ee-39de-e34ac66733e4@example.net> <vchd72$jonl$2@dont-email.me> MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8; format=flowed Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit Injection-Date: Thu, 19 Sep 2024 16:55:18 +0200 (CEST) Injection-Info: dont-email.me; posting-host="18108bfa2cbf84e839b64dbde2473106"; logging-data="653887"; mail-complaints-to="abuse@eternal-september.org"; posting-account="U2FsdGVkX1+1iOFLF6J+/AkaYaYDJoo8" User-Agent: Mozilla Thunderbird Cancel-Lock: sha1:qETSR0+RVI7elylJOHQ8QqrB9UU= In-Reply-To: <vchd72$jonl$2@dont-email.me> Content-Language: en-US Bytes: 6325 On 9/19/2024 7:41 AM, Cryptoengineer wrote: > On 9/19/2024 4:12 AM, D wrote: >> >> >> On Wed, 18 Sep 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote: >> >>> On 9/18/2024 2:49 PM, D wrote: >>>> >>>> >>>> On Wed, 18 Sep 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote: >>>> >>>>> Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes: >>>>>> On 9/17/2024 6:11 PM, quadibloc wrote: >>>>>>> On Mon, 16 Sep 2024 16:29:18 +0000, Don wrote: >>>>>>> >>>>> >>>>>>> Global warming is not an imaginary spectre. The science involved is >>>>>>> really basic stuff. >>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> Any Global Warming is not caused by humans so your basic thesis is >>>>>> wrong. >>>>> >>>>> You claim to be a process chemist, yet you make such >>>>> speciously _wrong_ statements. Svante August Arrhenius proved the >>>>> effects of CO2 on the atmosphere over a century ago (and earned >>>>> a Nobel prize in Chemistry). >>>>> >>>> >>>> Why was Svante Arrhenius wrong about CO2? >>>> >>>> Introduction to Arrhenius’ Work Svante Arrhenius, a Swedish physical >>>> chemist, is often credited with the early scientific foundation of >>>> the greenhouse effect and global warming due to carbon dioxide >>>> (CO2). In his 1896 publication, he posited that a doubling of >>>> atmospheric CO2 could lead to an increase in global temperatures by >>>> approximately 5 to 6 degrees Celsius. This assertion was based on >>>> his calculations regarding the heat absorption properties of CO2 >>>> compared to water vapor. >>>> >>>> Overestimation of Temperature Increase One of the primary reasons >>>> Arrhenius was considered wrong about CO2’s impact on temperature is >>>> that he significantly overestimated the effect of a doubling of CO2 >>>> concentration. His initial calculations suggested a temperature rise >>>> between 5 and 6°C; however, later revisions indicated that this >>>> figure was too high. By 1906, after further analysis and feedback >>>> from contemporaries like Knut Ångström, Arrhenius revised his >>>> estimate downwards to around 1.2°C directly and up to 2.1°C when >>>> accounting for feedback effects from water vapor. >>>> >>>> Errors in Absorption Coefficient Arrhenius’s original calculations >>>> were heavily reliant on his estimates for the absorption coefficient >>>> of CO2. The absorption coefficient is crucial because it determines >>>> how effectively a gas can absorb infrared radiation (heat). Ångström >>>> challenged Arrhenius’s values, suggesting they were inaccurate. This >>>> discrepancy highlighted that Arrhenius had not fully accounted for >>>> the complexities involved in how different gases interact with >>>> infrared radiation. >>>> >>>> Neglecting Water Vapor’s Dominance Another critical factor in >>>> Arrhenius’s miscalculations was his underestimation of water vapor’s >>>> role as a greenhouse gas. Water vapor constitutes a much larger >>>> portion of the atmosphere compared to CO2 and has a more significant >>>> impact on climate due to its higher concentration and ability to >>>> absorb heat across various wavelengths. While Arrhenius recognized >>>> CO2 as an important greenhouse gas, he did not adequately emphasize >>>> that its effects would be overshadowed by those of water vapor. >>>> >>>> Advancements in Climate Science The understanding of climate >>>> dynamics has evolved significantly since Arrhenius’s time. Modern >>>> climate models incorporate complex interactions among various >>>> greenhouse gases, including feedback loops involving clouds and >>>> aerosols, which were not part of Arrhenius’s simpler models. These >>>> advancements have led to more accurate predictions regarding >>>> temperature increases associated with rising levels of CO2. >>>> >>>> Conclusion: Legacy and Misunderstandings While Svante Arrhenius laid >>>> important groundwork for understanding the greenhouse effect, >>>> subsequent research revealed that his initial estimates were overly >>>> optimistic due to errors in calculation methods and assumptions >>>> about atmospheric chemistry. His work serves as both a historical >>>> milestone in climate science and an example of how scientific >>>> understanding can evolve over time through rigorous testing and >>>> validation. >>> >>> Chemical saturation limits EVERYTHING but is rarely taken into account. >>> >>> Lynn >>> >> >> Certainly in this group, anything that even remotely contradicts the >> narrative of man made global warming is never taken into account or >> ever discussed. > > We also tend to be kind of hard on flat-earthers. Oh, the intolerance! > And you really don't want to know what we do to Mobious Strip Earthers.... -- I've done good in this world. Now I'm tired and just want to be a cranky dirty old man.