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Path: eternal-september.org!news.eternal-september.org!feeder3.eternal-september.org!nntp-feed.chiark.greenend.org.uk!ewrotcd!news.eyrie.org!beagle.ediacara.org!.POSTED.beagle.ediacara.org!not-for-mail From: JTEM <jtem01@gmail.com> Newsgroups: talk.origins Subject: Re: human population bottleneck Date: Wed, 25 Dec 2024 20:29:52 -0500 Organization: Eek Lines: 55 Sender: to%beagle.ediacara.org Approved: moderator@beagle.ediacara.org Message-ID: <vkibih$2ke27$3@dont-email.me> References: <b832c551-16b7-40c5-a038-d8b48074cefa@gmail.com> Reply-To: jtem01@gmail.com MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8; format=flowed Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Injection-Info: beagle.ediacara.org; posting-host="beagle.ediacara.org:3.132.105.89"; logging-data="84050"; mail-complaints-to="usenet@beagle.ediacara.org" User-Agent: Mozilla Thunderbird To: talk-origins@moderators.isc.org Cancel-Lock: sha1:3sY8h4OYqCXMP2fkQH/1chiETKg= Return-Path: <news@eternal-september.org> X-Original-To: talk-origins@ediacara.org Delivered-To: talk-origins@ediacara.org id D3804229782; Wed, 25 Dec 2024 20:30:10 -0500 (EST) by beagle.ediacara.org (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 6C441229765 for <talk-origins@ediacara.org>; Wed, 25 Dec 2024 20:30:08 -0500 (EST) by pi-dach.dorfdsl.de (8.18.1/8.18.1/Debian-6~bpo12+1) with ESMTPS id 4BQ1U0mJ3485063 (version=TLSv1.3 cipher=TLS_AES_256_GCM_SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for <talk-origins@moderators.isc.org>; Thu, 26 Dec 2024 02:30:02 +0100 (using TLSv1.3 with cipher TLS_AES_256_GCM_SHA384 (256/256 bits) key-exchange X25519 server-signature ECDSA (P-256) server-digest SHA256) (No client certificate requested) by smtp.eternal-september.org (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 463625FD52 for <talk-origins@moderators.isc.org>; Thu, 26 Dec 2024 01:29:59 +0000 (UTC) Authentication-Results: name/463625FD52; dmarc=fail (p=none dis=none) header.from=gmail.com id AC50CDC01A9; Thu, 26 Dec 2024 02:29:53 +0100 (CET) X-Injection-Date: Thu, 26 Dec 2024 02:29:53 +0100 (CET) X-Auth-Sender: U2FsdGVkX1+Rg/tcMSTFJ2kOKSXu3nYZcp4F1bXZrKA= Content-Language: en-US In-Reply-To: <b832c551-16b7-40c5-a038-d8b48074cefa@gmail.com> FREEMAIL_FORGED_REPLYTO,FREEMAIL_REPLYTO_END_DIGIT, HEADER_FROM_DIFFERENT_DOMAINS,NML_ADSP_CUSTOM_MED,SPF_HELO_NONE, SPF_PASS,URIBL_BLOCKED,USER_IN_WELCOMELIST,USER_IN_WHITELIST autolearn=ham autolearn_force=no version=3.4.6 smtp.eternal-september.org On 12/25/24 5:40 PM, erik simpson wrote: > https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abq7487 > > Genomic inference of a severe human bottleneck during the Early to > Middle Pleistocene transition > > Abstract > Population size history is essential for studying human evolution. > However, ancient population size history during the Pleistocene is > notoriously difficult to unravel. In this study, we developed a fast > infinitesimal time coalescent process (FitCoal) to circumvent this > difficulty and calculated the composite likelihood for present-day human > genomic sequences of 3154 individuals. Results showed that human > ancestors went through a severe population bottleneck with about 1280 > breeding individuals between around 930,000 and 813,000 years ago. It was 800,000 years ago, or a tad more recent. "Molecular clock" or "Molecular dating" sucks. It always exaggerates. It assumes a slow, clock like pace of change when, by definition, a bottleneck event is pretty damn quick. Google: Founder effect. Within a single generation the genetics that typify a population can completely change. The premise is also based on a fantasy, not how DNA actually works. If you do the Google, for instance, most sources insist that your DNA will be completely wiped from humanity within a thousand years, barring anything special. And of course if there is anything special then that means any 10 other people's DNA will be wiped in a thousand years... This is assuming that you all have living descendants. Yes you have many, Many, MANY ancestors for whom not a trace of their DNA can be found in you... A fantastic illustration of this point is the LM3 or Chromosome 11 insert that identifies a mtDNA ancestor *Far* older than any "Mitochondrial Eve" for billions of people, that would be completely unknown and unguessed at without the lucky Chromosome 11 insert... That's it. We leap from no-reason-to-so-much-as-suspect these deeply archaic Eurasian ancestors to confirmation of their existence, all because of one lucky mutation. And, it's a mutation that completely dissolves the "Molecular Clock" mtDNA dating, as that mtDNA that made the leap is strangely missing all this clock-like mutation... -- https://jtem.tumblr.com/tagged/The%20Book%20of%20JTEM/page/5