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From: Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com>
Newsgroups: rec.arts.sf.written,rec.arts.comics.strips
Subject: Re: Pearls Before Swine: Uncle Is Not Good With Money
Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2025 20:45:05 -0500
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On 1/10/2025 4:43 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
> On 1/10/2025 10:23 AM, Cryptoengineer wrote:
> ...
>> I don't want to just see Ukraine get back its territory.
>>
>> I'd like to see the Russian Empire broken up, and simply
>> unable to attack the West again.
>>
>> We're getting close:
>>
>> The Russian economy is getting mighty shaky, with 18%
>> interest rates, and about 20% inflation.
>>
>> Russia is rapidly running out of war machines, and can't
>> manufacture them at anything like the rate at which they're
>> being destroyed.
>>
>> Similarly for manpower - he's having to bring in troops
>> from North Korea, and Russian meat wave tactics run through
>> men very, very quickly.
>>
>> It looks like he can keep it up for less than a year before
>> things collapse.
>>
>> We need to keep the pressure up.
>>
>> pt
> 
> Yeah, putting pressure on the guy who owns 14,000 canned sunshine 
> missiles is going to go well.  Not.
> 
> Lynn

Get the number right. Russia has under 6000 nuclear weapons, not 14,000.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_nuclear_weapons_stockpiles_and_nuclear_tests_by_country

While 6000 nukes can certainly give you a Bad Day, I point it out to
show you that you need to update your knowledge of the situation.
You're working from assumptions that are simply out of date.

According to their own published nuclear doctrine, even as recently
amended, an internal collapse of Russia would not lead to nuclear
attacks on other countries, and almost certainly not within the country
either. Putin and the other Russian leadership are venal, cruel,
corrupt,  and hold the Russian masses in contempt, but they aren't
stupid or insane. They don't want to shit where they eat, and use of
nukes would enshittify  everything.

Russia has twice before collapsed in the aftermath of an economically
draining war, during WW1, and the Cold War. It looks like the pattern
is repeating.

I'd like to see Russia break up, similarly to how Yugoslavia did, though
preferably without the genocidal civil war. Only then will it cease
to present a threat to the West.

Muskovia delenda est.

pt