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From: MarkE <me22over7@gmail.com>
Newsgroups: talk.origins
Subject: Re: To sum up
Date: Sat, 8 Feb 2025 09:27:44 +1100
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On 8/02/2025 5:21 am, JTEM wrote:
> On 2/7/25 1:00 AM, MarkE wrote:
> 
>> The more complex a minimal first life must be, the higher the 
>> improbability of naturalistic formation, yes?
> 
> I don't think it's a matter of probabilities. If conditions are
> right, life. If conditions are wrong, no life.
> 
> Think of it like freezing water. If the conditions are right the
> water freezes. And every time you replicate those exact
> conditions the water freezes. But if you don't produce the
> condition under which water freezes, it's never going to freeze.
> There is no "Percentage" chance. The probability is always 1 or
> zero.
> 

I think that's "probability with hindsight".

See my recent post, "Revealing thought experiment".