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From: Frank Krygowski <frkrygow@sbcglobal.net>
Newsgroups: rec.bicycles.tech
Subject: Re: bike path news
Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2025 13:07:05 -0400
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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On 3/12/2025 8:42 AM, AMuzi wrote:
> On 3/11/2025 8:51 PM, Frank Krygowski wrote:
>> On 3/11/2025 8:50 AM, AMuzi wrote:
>>> On 3/10/2025 9:56 PM, Frank Krygowski wrote:
>>>> On 3/10/2025 8:11 PM, AMuzi wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> The murder of this thread was of an unarmed man on a bike path.
>>>>
>>>> Which does not mean it's even remotely likely on the bike path where 
>>>> Mr. Tricycle Rider rides. It was a one in a million event, thousands 
>>>> of miles away.
>>>>
>>>> His fear is as unrealistic as fear of dying from a spider bite. It's 
>>>> almost as unrealistic as fear of walking past a graveyard. It's a 
>>>> phobia, and his quasi-macho defense strategy is even less admirable 
>>>> than clutching a teddy bear.
>>>>
>>>
>>> OK, the risk is remote. But it's not zero.
>>
>> Andrew, no risk is zero. But rational and non-phobic people's 
>> assessment of most risks is _usually_ at least vaguely related to the 
>> actual likelihood of the bad event.
>>
>> That's not true for some "dangers," like spiders and snakes. There are 
>> fewer than ten deaths from each per year in the U.S.  Yet many people 
>> are completely irrational in those phobias.
>>
>> Mr. Tricycle is similarly irrational in his fear of riding a bike path 
>> without his gun. And he's lately let us know that he's also afraid of 
>> driving without a gun or pumping gas without a gun. He's afraid of 
>> pedaling on normal streets, too, gun or no. Remember, he's still in an 
>> endless snit because I said that if he lacked the courage or 
>> competence to ride normal roads, he could continue just riding back 
>> and forth on his path, but it would be too boring for me.
>>
>> His fears are not normal, and his fearful behavior is not admirable.
>>
> 
> Let's check the data shall we?
> 
> https://www.statista.com/statistics/232564/robbery-rate-in-the-us-by-state/

Sure, let's check the data and try to understand it. Your source says 
there are 42 robberies per 100,000 people in Florida. That's a 0.04% 
chance of being robbed. People are really supposed to carry a gun 
because of that?

Or let's look at NRA's statement on the odds of needing a gun for self 
defense. Here it is, in their photo:
https://cloudfront.mediamatters.org/static/uploader/image/2015/10/20/nranoirdgu.jpg

The odds of getting hit by a meteorite might be about the same. It takes 
a lot of paranoia to be afraid of odds like that!

-- 
- Frank Krygowski