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From: Chris <ithinkiam@gmail.com>
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Date: Tue, 25 Mar 2025 08:33:03 -0000 (UTC)
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Paul <nospam@needed.invalid> wrote:
> On Mon, 3/24/2025 9:19 PM, rbowman wrote:
> 
>> 
>> Not coming to a desktop near you any time soon.
> 
> I think this is true.
> 
> 1) The cost can come down, by roughly a factor of three.
> 2) The benefit has to be higher, to swing the deal.
> 
> A break through is needed, not because the current AI is
> so "dopey", it's because the current technology does not
> scale nearly well enough. You can't handle a "big" problem
> currently, even in a data center. Unless that changes,
> there will never be a Skynet.

Agree and there will be. DeepSeek has shown there are big step changes
possible. Biology has also shown there are order of magnitude efficiency
improvements "out there". I mean, the human brain doesn't need megawatts of
power.

Not that any one of us wants skynet.