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From: Frank Krygowski <frkrygow@sbcglobal.net>
Newsgroups: rec.bicycles.tech
Subject: Re: Oddities
Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2025 23:07:13 -0400
Organization: A noiseless patient Spider
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On 4/14/2025 4:40 PM, AMuzi wrote:
> On 4/14/2025 3:25 PM, Shadow wrote:
>> 
>>     Brazilians were divided in two groups. Those that did not
>> trust the US and its puppets (Bolsonaro). They had the Sinovac
>> vaccine.
>>
>>     And those that thought social media was doG. They had the
>> American vaccines.
>>
>>     You could choose. We still have some democracy left.... I
>> don't believe you had a choice in the US.
>>
>>     Nobody that had the 3 doses of Sinovac died of COVID.
>>     []'s
> 
> 
> Few or less maybe but zero deaths seems improbable:
> 
> https://ourworldindata.org/covid-deaths-by-vaccination

I thought that article gave particularly lucid explanations.

Those who are curious about the "base rate fallacy" it mentions and who 
are mathematically competent may want to look up Bayes Probability.

This article gives a pretty good explanation.
https://www.yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes
Read the bit about breast cancer, if nothing else. (Unfortunately, the 
hotlinks to calculator sites seem to have gone dormant, but the text 
gives results.)

-- 
- Frank Krygowski