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From: P Cormoran <pc@ue.com>
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Subject: Re: =?ISO-8859-15?Q?Le_rouble_et_le_yuan_remplacent_le_dollar_dan?=
	=?ISO-8859-15?Q?s_les_=E9changes_entre_la_Chine_et_la_Russie?=
Date: Wed, 01 Jun 2022 18:01:26 +0200
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Cardinal de Hère avait soumis l'idée :
> La dédollarisation de l'économie mondiale commence par le paiement des 
> échanges commerciaux entre les pays asiatiques dans les monnaies nationales 
> et parmi elles trois grandes monnaies sont appelées à jouer un rôle de 
> premier plan : le rouble, le yuan et la roupie. Quand tous les échanges entre 
> pays de la zone Asie auront basculé en monnaies nationales le dollar ne sera 
> plus utilisé que par les Européens pour payer leur gaz américain, leur 
> pétrole arabe et leurs produits industriels turcs ! Quant à l'euro on pourra 
> le recycler comme PQ.
>
> https://www.rt.com/business/556389-ruble-yuan-surge-dollar-sanctions/
>
> Ruble-yuan trade soars over 1,000% (1.000% en notation standard)
>
> Russia and China are ditching the US dollar in favor of national currencies
>
> Russia and China are continuing to eliminate the US dollar from mutual trade 
> as monthly volumes on the exchange of ruble and yuan have reportedly soared 
> 1,067% (1.067%) to nearly $4 billion over the past three months.
>
> According to Bloomberg calculations, some 25.91 billion yuan, or $3.9 
> billion, have been exchanged for rubles on the Moscow spot market so far in 
> May, marking a twelvefold surge versus the volumes recorded in February, when 
> Russia launched its military operation in Ukraine. The spike coincides with a 
> rally in the ruble to a five-year high against the yuan and the US dollar.
>
> Meanwhile, volume in the dollar-ruble pairing reportedly dropped to the 
> lowest level in a decade. The ruble rallied 118% against the greenback 
> between early March and late May, even as most traders deserted the pair amid 
> capital controls and forced dollar sales.
>
> “The main players in the yuan-ruble market are corporations and banks, but 
> there is also a growing interest from retail investors,” a currency and rates 
> strategist at Sberbank CIB, Yuri Popov, told the agency.
>
> “The volume on the Moscow Exchange’s spot market has surged. This is due to 
> sanctions concerns, as well as the intentions of Russia and China to 
> encourage the usage of national currencies in bilateral trade,” he added.
>
> The mass exodus of international brands from the sanctions-hit country have 
> reportedly forced Russian businesses to turn to Chinese goods to replace 
> Western imports. Meanwhile, the Chinese yuan may gain fresh impetus for 
> internationalization just when growing tensions between Washington and 
> Beijing are slowing that process.

Le grand gagnant dans cette histoire c’est la chine, qui d’une part est 
maintenant le seul fournisseur de la Russie, et d’autre part accroît 
son stock de rouble pour asseoir son pouvoir sur la Russie.
Les mesures n’ont pas été un échec, mais ont un impact différent 
qu’attendu.