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Path: ...!eternal-september.org!reader01.eternal-september.org!.POSTED!not-for-mail From: PaulAubrin <paul.aubrin@invalid.org> Newsgroups: fr.sci.zetetique Subject: =?UTF-8?Q?Re=3a_Propabilit=c3=a9s_=3f_=28Re=3a_Du_boulot_pour_les_z?= =?UTF-8?B?w6l0w6l0aWNpZW5zKQ==?= Date: Sun, 16 Oct 2022 11:43:20 +0200 Organization: A noiseless patient Spider Lines: 10 Message-ID: <tigjno$346ni$5@dont-email.me> References: <634a7d4b$0$25820$426a74cc@news.free.fr> <tie223$2lms1$5@dont-email.me> <634a8dfb$0$2976$426a74cc@news.free.fr> <tiebnl$2o9ne$1@dont-email.me> <634ab590$0$22057$426a74cc@news.free.fr> <634ac08a$0$31535$426a74cc@news.free.fr> MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8; format=flowed Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit Injection-Date: Sun, 16 Oct 2022 09:43:20 -0000 (UTC) Injection-Info: reader01.eternal-september.org; posting-host="5f31b3675d7c9e57cefd358e5875a72b"; logging-data="3283698"; mail-complaints-to="abuse@eternal-september.org"; posting-account="U2FsdGVkX19+PzvA0JuV2OatmHUO6MLgJ7mi9ktwV/g=" User-Agent: Mozilla/5.0 (X11; Linux x86_64; rv:102.0) Gecko/20100101 Thunderbird/102.2.2 Cancel-Lock: sha1:2y/U/sv530EFnlAZSdzYAD8FZCo= Content-Language: fr In-Reply-To: <634ac08a$0$31535$426a74cc@news.free.fr> Bytes: 1636 Le 15/10/2022 à 16:15, Martial a écrit : >> <https://youtu.be/GO6im1qlPEA> >> >> -- > Selon vous quelle est la probabilité (un chiffre sur 100) que cela arrive ? Quand quelque chose survient, sa probabilité de survenance passe à 100%. Estimer les probabilités a posteriori est une erreur classique.